📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
46
Ṁ725Ṁ2.6kDec 31
98%
6 or more people die in a single shooting incident in the united states
92%
GOP loses control of the House
75%
Chat GPT 6 releases
66%
MLB World Series won by the National League team
66%
there is a need to replace an existing supreme court justice (dies/retires/etc) or they add another justice
64%
at least one equipment caused death at a theme park in the USA due to ride failure, negligence, or other similar cause (not: pool drowning, natural disasters , medical, or forced violence)
59%
GTA VI Release
51%
Assassination of an African head of state
47%
nuclear detonation occurs (can be a test)
45%
Earthquake over 8.0 magnitude
44%
Taylor Swift drops a new album (not a Taylor’s Version of an older album actually majority new tracks)
39%
Joe Biden dies
36%
Twitter releases peer to peer payment system, for at least all premium users if not everyone
34%
Imu face reveal in One Piece
33%
grimace shake returns at mcdonalds in usa
30%
reddit r/Worldnews unpins the Russia/Ukraine thread
30%
Someone other than Netanyahu becomes prime minister of Israel
26%
Kanye West is arrested or admitted to a mental hospital
20%
Russia : Ukraine ceasefire
20%
bitcoin reaches a new all time high
I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.
Update 2025-05-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer 'H5N1 pandemic declared', the declaration is assumed to be by the USA.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
@strutheo (Israel-Hamas Ceasefire) is this referring to the start of another period of conflict then another ceasefire - the current one doesn’t count in its current state? or is it asking if the ceasefire is maintained until the end of the year?
edit - not sure why it removed the quote from the comment - apologies!