MANIFOLD
Will Trump Wear a Crown?
31
Ṁ200Ṁ930
Aug 20
21%
chance

Resolves YES if a reliable source reports that Trump wears a crown during his period as head of state (this may extend beyond his current term as president if he retains power).

Resolves NO if Trump leaves office without wearing a crown.

  • Update 2025-08-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Expansive definition: Includes crown-like headpieces (e.g., coronets).

    • Excludes: Cheap costume or gimmick crowns.

  • Update 2025-10-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - A proper replica of a real historical crown would count for resolution

Market context
Politics
US Politics
Trump
Trump's Second Term
Republican Party
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Does it count if @realDonaldTrump buys the Manifold crown? (arguably less likely)

@Gen It does.

@realDonaldTrump hold up, WHAT

bought Ṁ9 YES

Cheap stuff not included, but a proper replica of a real historical crown surely would? (see below) @jim

@JussiVilleHeiskanen Yes, this would of course count!

@jim TBF looks a bit large for his head

Hmm. Bet he did, but will we know about it...?

https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20251029-monarch-loving-trump-gifted-golden-crown-once-worn-by-south-korean-kings

Monarch-loving Trump gifted golden crown once worn by South Korean kings
President Donald Trump may be facing protests back home calling for "no kings" in the United States, but in South Korea officials had the perfect gift for the monarch-loving magnate -- a replica golden…
bought Ṁ1 YES

Thanks @hakagie

https://x.com/TrumpWarRoom/status/1979572898277790035

We are going with an expansive definition of a crown, so anything that looks like a crown such as a coronet would be a YES?

@JussiVilleHeiskanen yeah, as long as it's not like some cheap costume crown or gimmick crown.

bought Ṁ10 YES

would this resolve yes @jim ?

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