If at least one AI system causes more than 100 deaths in the next 12 months, who would be behind it?

MANIFOLD

Ṁ1kṀ385

2027

ALL

48%

State actor

20%

Non-state actor

31%

Accident/other

Excluding use in the Russia/Ukraine war, because AI systems are probably already killing more than 100 people in this context
If more than one attack, refers to the first one.

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142

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423

Does an AI disaster kill at least 100 people before 2029?

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@NuñoSempere Does the presence of an 'accident' option mean you'll only resolve to one of the other two options if it's intentional?

Also, what's an "AI System" - anything that uses machine learning or something more general like an LLM?

Does it count if bad advice from a chatbot kills one person on 100 separate occasions?

I don't know, what would your recommendation be?

bought Ṁ10 YES

why exclusion on russia/ukraine war specifically?

@No_uh Because AI systems are already killing more than 100 people through autonomous drone guidance until a kill

@NuñoSempere this type of killing enacted by another in another broken out war would qualify as 'state actor' though, correct? the only caveat here is that this is already going on in russia/ukraine, correct?