MANIFOLD
The Netflix/Warner deal will go through
23
Ṁ100Ṁ3k
Dec 31
6%
chance

Netflix will successfully acquire Warner by the end of 2026.

  • Update 2025-12-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Warner is split as part of the acquisition, the market will resolve NO. Netflix must acquire Warner as currently constituted for this market to resolve YES.

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This will almost certainly resolve NO

opened a Ṁ43 YES at 4% order

I have a limit order up to sell most of my shares at 4%

bought Ṁ10 NO

How will this resolve in the event that the company is split in an unforeseen (as of today) way as part of the acquisition?

@Eliza Great question. It will resolve as 'no'. Interpret the original statement as: Netflix will acquire Warner as currently constituted

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