If Trump wins, will the U.S. have a civil war by end 2030?
15
Ṁ220Ṁ1.2k2031
15%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Are we accelerating? Does the status quo change anything?
Must meet the formal criteria for civil war.
Resolves N/A if Trump does not win the 2024 presidential election.
Compare/ contrast
/Stralor/if-biden-wins-will-the-us-have-a-ci
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?
23% chance
Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?
8% chance
Will the USA go in a civil war before 2030
10% chance
If there is a civil war in America starting before 2030, who will win?
Will the US will have a Civil War by the end of 2028?
17% chance
Will any of the following Western countries have a civil war by 2030?
19% chance
If Donald Trump wins in 2024, will a War between China and the USA have occured by the end of his 2025 term?
13% chance
Will the USA have another civil war before the end of the decade?
16% chance
Will Donald Trump be elected President in 2032?
2% chance
Will there be an armed conflict between China and the US before the end of 2030?
23% chance