Will a nuclear disaster occur that scores a 5, 6, or 7 on the International Nuclear Event Scale by EOY 2030? | Manifold

Will a nuclear disaster occur that scores a 5, 6, or 7 on the International Nuclear Event Scale by EOY 2030?

7

Ṁ150Ṁ64

2031

44%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This question will resolve YES if a nuclear disaster occurs by end of year 2030 that scores a five, six, or seven on the International Nuclear Event Scale. If a disaster occurs near the resolution date that could plausibly resolve YES, I will extend trading until a INES score is given.

Market context

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

If there are nuclear detonations by the end of 2026, by who?

Will a nuclear disaster occur that scores a 7 on the International Nuclear Event Scale by EOY 2030?

Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2026?

Will there be a major nuclear disaster by 2030?

Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2027?

Above-ground nuclear explosion by EOY 2026?

Will there be a Nuclear Explosion by 2030

Will a nuclear power incident cause 25 deaths (or equivalent) before 2030?

Will the reactor core of a nuclear power plant melt before EOY 2030?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in the year 2030?

Related questions

If there are nuclear detonations by the end of 2026, by who?

Will a nuclear disaster occur that scores a 7 on the International Nuclear Event Scale by EOY 2030?

Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2026?

Will there be a major nuclear disaster by 2030?

Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2027?

Above-ground nuclear explosion by EOY 2026?

Will there be a Nuclear Explosion by 2030

Will a nuclear power incident cause 25 deaths (or equivalent) before 2030?

Will the reactor core of a nuclear power plant melt before EOY 2030?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in the year 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy