When will Vladimir Putin be assassinated?
14
Ṁ1kṀ3k2061
0.9%
2023
0.5%
2024
0.4%
2025
3%
2026
1.9%
2027
1.5%
2028
1%
2029
1%
2030
1%
2031
1%
2032
1%
2033
86%
Later/Never
Structuring this market to provide maximum incentives for would-be assassins.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
How will Vladimir Putin die?
Will Vladimir Putin die of "Sudden Death Syndrome"?
12% chance
What will be the cause of Putin's death?
What age will Putin die at?
Will Vladimir Putin’s death be the result of an assassination?
32% chance
Will Putin be assassinated during his presidency?
20% chance
When will Vladimir Putin cease to hold the office of President of Russia?
When will Putin die?
Will Putin die in office?
79% chance
Conditional on regime change in Russia, will Putin be executed or assassinated before 2034?
37% chance